{ "schemaVersion": 1, "mode": "deterministic", "scenarioId": "phil-kenny-derived-regression", "scenarioDescription": "Offline deterministic regression derived from the real phil-kenny pair: one side sees mixed transport/stall pressure while the other sees severe stale timestamp dropping.", "fixtureId": null, "generatedAt": "2026-04-26T13:13:48.174Z", "seed": 1001, "pairedAnalysis": { "peerA": { "addr": "peer-A", "role": "root-forwarder", "primaryClass": "mixed", "secondaryClass": "transport-dominated", "provisionalBars": [ { "metric": "packetsDroppedPendingDecryptRatePerSec", "observed": 0, "threshold": 1, "operator": "<", "passed": true, "description": "Decrypt drop rate < 1.0/s (decrypt pass bar)" }, { "metric": "playoutUnderTargetFraction", "observed": 0.021052631578947368, "threshold": 0.35, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Under-target fraction ≤ 0.35 (provisional jitter pass)" }, { "metric": "playoutOutsideTargetFraction", "observed": 0.02210526315789474, "threshold": 0.5, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Outside-target fraction ≤ 0.5" } ], "passedAllBars": true, "severity": "healthy", "diagnosticNotes": [ "V2-managed sources: 1; using v2 jitter summary instead of legacy Opus window fields", "Tick budget: 180 breaches, P95=40.0ms", "Transport triad: bridgeHW=24, binaryHW=18" ] }, "peerB": { "addr": "peer-B", "role": "standby-forwarder", "primaryClass": "policy-dominated", "provisionalBars": [ { "metric": "packetsDroppedPendingDecryptRatePerSec", "observed": 0, "threshold": 1, "operator": "<", "passed": true, "description": "Decrypt drop rate < 1.0/s (decrypt pass bar)" }, { "metric": "playoutUnderTargetFraction", "observed": 0.15699481865284973, "threshold": 0.35, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Under-target fraction ≤ 0.35 (provisional jitter pass)" }, { "metric": "playoutOutsideTargetFraction", "observed": 0.1648445595854922, "threshold": 0.5, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Outside-target fraction ≤ 0.5" } ], "passedAllBars": true, "severity": "healthy", "diagnosticNotes": [ "V2-managed sources: 1; using v2 jitter summary instead of legacy Opus window fields", "Stale timestamp drops: 202 (6.53/s); inspect sourceTimestampLateness gating before playout policy tuning" ] }, "bothPassed": true, "worseAddr": "peer-B", "qualityScore": 8.872020725388602, "callSummary": "[Good 8.9/10] BOTH PEERS PASS — peer-A (root-forwarder): mixed, severity=healthy; peer-B (standby-forwarder): policy-dominated, severity=healthy" }, "firstDegradedPeer": "peer-A", "firstDegradedStage": "jitter", "likelyFixSurfaces": [ "mixed", "transport-dominated", "policy-dominated" ], "peerA": { "addr": "peer-A", "role": "root-forwarder", "senderProfileId": "philKennyTransportSender", "senderProfileLabel": "Phil-Kenny transport/stall sender", "impairmentSummary": "Derived from the real phil-kenny capture: bridge pressure, latency spikes, and tick stalls on the worse peer path.", "metrics": { "avgPcmBufferedMs": 117.85263157894737, "avgPlayoutDeltaMs": -2.147368421052633, "playoutUnderTargetFraction": 0.021052631578947368, "playoutOutsideTargetFraction": 0.02210526315789474, "playoutRateFractionBelow1": 0.15, "jitterUnderruns": 0, "missingFrames": 2, "concealmentTicks": 2, "packetsDroppedStaleTimestamp": 0, "packetsDroppedStaleTimestampRatePerSec": 0, "packetsDroppedPendingDecrypt": 0, "packetsDroppedPendingDecryptRatePerSec": 0, "pendingDecryptDepthHighWater": 0, "reticulumAudioBridgeQueuedFramesHighWater": 24, "reticulumAudioBinaryOutQueueDepthHighWater": 18, "reticulumAudioBridgeWaitingForDrain": true, "reticulumAudioQueuePressureDrops": 0, "reticulumAudioStaleDrops": 0, "avgOpusBufferedMs": 312, "maxOpusBufferedMs": 320, "adaptiveTargetMedianMs": 120, "wasmFecDeferredPcmTicks": 0, "durationMs": 20900, "adaptiveNetworkMode": "steady", "playoutStarvationWorstSeverity": "none", "gcallAudioStage5BoostCumulativeMs": 0, "tickBudgetBreachCount": 180, "tickBudgetBreachP95Ms": 40, "tickBudgetBreachMaxMs": 40, "longTaskCount": 0, "role": "root-forwarder", "v2ManagedSourceCount": 1, "legacyWindowOpusMetricsMeaningful": false, "avgPcmRingBufferedMs": 217.5693779904306, "avgTargetBufferMs": 120 }, "timeline": { "firstIssueAtMs": 20, "firstIssueStage": "jitter", "arrival": { "firstIssueAtMs": 141, "totalPackets": 1541, "deliveredPackets": 1512, "droppedPackets": 29, "dropRate": 0.01881894873458793, "staleTimestampDrops": 0, "maxExcessLatenessMs": 197, "maxTimestampRegressionMs": 100 }, "jitter": { "firstIssueAtMs": 20, "avgBufferedMs": 312, "maxBufferedMs": 320, "maxDepthFrames": 16 }, "decode": { "firstIssueAtMs": 200, "framesDecoded": 13, "concealmentFrames": 2, "concealmentTicks": 2 }, "pcmRing": { "firstIssueAtMs": null, "avgBufferedMs": 217.5693779904306, "minBufferedMs": 0, "maxBufferedMs": 220, "underruns": 0, "overruns": 0 }, "playout": { "firstIssueAtMs": 20, "avgDeltaMs": 21.818181818181817, "underTargetFraction": 0.021052631578947368, "outsideTargetFraction": 0.02210526315789474, "targetBufferMs": 120 }, "perf": { "tickBudgetBreachCount": 180, "tickBudgetBreachP95Ms": 40, "tickBudgetBreachMaxMs": 40, "longTaskCount": 0 } }, "stateTransitions": [ { "state": "missingMedia", "count": 4 }, { "state": "coldStart", "count": 4 }, { "state": "steady", "count": 1037 } ], "classification": { "addr": "peer-A", "role": "root-forwarder", "primaryClass": "mixed", "secondaryClass": "transport-dominated", "provisionalBars": [ { "metric": "packetsDroppedPendingDecryptRatePerSec", "observed": 0, "threshold": 1, "operator": "<", "passed": true, "description": "Decrypt drop rate < 1.0/s (decrypt pass bar)" }, { "metric": "playoutUnderTargetFraction", "observed": 0.021052631578947368, "threshold": 0.35, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Under-target fraction ≤ 0.35 (provisional jitter pass)" }, { "metric": "playoutOutsideTargetFraction", "observed": 0.02210526315789474, "threshold": 0.5, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Outside-target fraction ≤ 0.5" } ], "passedAllBars": true, "severity": "healthy", "diagnosticNotes": [ "V2-managed sources: 1; using v2 jitter summary instead of legacy Opus window fields", "Tick budget: 180 breaches, P95=40.0ms", "Transport triad: bridgeHW=24, binaryHW=18" ] } }, "peerB": { "addr": "peer-B", "role": "standby-forwarder", "senderProfileId": "philKennyStaleSender", "senderProfileLabel": "Phil-Kenny stale-timestamp sender", "impairmentSummary": "Derived from the real phil-kenny capture: sender timestamps drift stale/regressing while the opposite side remains under playout pressure.", "metrics": { "avgPcmBufferedMs": 103.98652849740932, "avgPlayoutDeltaMs": -16.013471502590676, "playoutUnderTargetFraction": 0.15699481865284973, "playoutOutsideTargetFraction": 0.1648445595854922, "playoutRateFractionBelow1": 0, "jitterUnderruns": 0, "missingFrames": 1, "concealmentTicks": 1, "packetsDroppedStaleTimestamp": 202, "packetsDroppedStaleTimestampRatePerSec": 6.532988357050453, "packetsDroppedPendingDecrypt": 0, "packetsDroppedPendingDecryptRatePerSec": 0, "pendingDecryptDepthHighWater": 0, "reticulumAudioBridgeQueuedFramesHighWater": 0, "reticulumAudioBinaryOutQueueDepthHighWater": 0, "reticulumAudioBridgeWaitingForDrain": false, "reticulumAudioQueuePressureDrops": 0, "reticulumAudioStaleDrops": 0, "avgOpusBufferedMs": 315.2005174644243, "maxOpusBufferedMs": 320, "adaptiveTargetMedianMs": 120, "wasmFecDeferredPcmTicks": 0, "durationMs": 30920, "adaptiveNetworkMode": "steady", "playoutStarvationWorstSeverity": "none", "gcallAudioStage5BoostCumulativeMs": 0, "tickBudgetBreachCount": 0, "tickBudgetBreachP95Ms": 0, "tickBudgetBreachMaxMs": 0, "longTaskCount": 0, "role": "standby-forwarder", "v2ManagedSourceCount": 1, "legacyWindowOpusMetricsMeaningful": false, "avgPcmRingBufferedMs": 218.6934023285899, "avgTargetBufferMs": 120 }, "timeline": { "firstIssueAtMs": 20, "firstIssueStage": "jitter", "arrival": { "firstIssueAtMs": 1595, "totalPackets": 1544, "deliveredPackets": 1329, "droppedPackets": 215, "dropRate": 0.13924870466321243, "staleTimestampDrops": 202, "maxExcessLatenessMs": 5998, "maxTimestampRegressionMs": 4980 }, "jitter": { "firstIssueAtMs": 20, "avgBufferedMs": 315.2005174644243, "maxBufferedMs": 320, "maxDepthFrames": 16 }, "decode": { "firstIssueAtMs": 160, "framesDecoded": 15, "concealmentFrames": 1, "concealmentTicks": 1 }, "pcmRing": { "firstIssueAtMs": null, "avgBufferedMs": 218.6934023285899, "minBufferedMs": 0, "maxBufferedMs": 220, "underruns": 0, "overruns": 0 }, "playout": { "firstIssueAtMs": 20, "avgDeltaMs": 22.804657179818886, "underTargetFraction": 0.15699481865284973, "outsideTargetFraction": 0.1648445595854922, "targetBufferMs": 120 }, "perf": { "tickBudgetBreachCount": 0, "tickBudgetBreachP95Ms": 0, "tickBudgetBreachMaxMs": 0, "longTaskCount": 0 } }, "stateTransitions": [ { "state": "missingMedia", "count": 3 }, { "state": "coldStart", "count": 3 }, { "state": "steady", "count": 1540 } ], "classification": { "addr": "peer-B", "role": "standby-forwarder", "primaryClass": "policy-dominated", "provisionalBars": [ { "metric": "packetsDroppedPendingDecryptRatePerSec", "observed": 0, "threshold": 1, "operator": "<", "passed": true, "description": "Decrypt drop rate < 1.0/s (decrypt pass bar)" }, { "metric": "playoutUnderTargetFraction", "observed": 0.15699481865284973, "threshold": 0.35, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Under-target fraction ≤ 0.35 (provisional jitter pass)" }, { "metric": "playoutOutsideTargetFraction", "observed": 0.1648445595854922, "threshold": 0.5, "operator": "<=", "passed": true, "description": "Outside-target fraction ≤ 0.5" } ], "passedAllBars": true, "severity": "healthy", "diagnosticNotes": [ "V2-managed sources: 1; using v2 jitter summary instead of legacy Opus window fields", "Stale timestamp drops: 202 (6.53/s); inspect sourceTimestampLateness gating before playout policy tuning" ] } } }